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West Virginia’s Chances to Upset Iowa State Based on Computer Probabilities

West Virginia will face a tough task at home in Week 7 as they take on conference opponent No. 11 Iowa State.

The Cyclones have had an ideal start to their season at 5-0 (2-0 in Big 12). After a slow start, WVU has gotten back on track and picked things up to start conference play with a 3-2 record (2-0 in Big 12). Let’s look at predictions for the matchup based on some computer probabilities and rating systems.

According to ESPN Analytics‘ Matchup Predictor, WVU has a 45.5% chance of upsetting Iowa State.

Massey Ratings favors ISU, giving West Virginia a 44% chance. It predicts a score of 27-24 Cyclones.

DRatings also give Iowa State the edge, giving them a 63.7% chance. The system predicts

NCAA Game Simulator predicts a final score of 28-21. However, it ran over 1,200 simulations and WVU won 868 (72%).

West Virginia’s first-ever Coal Rush game will kick off at 8 p.m. EST Saturday and be televised on FOX.

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