Just over two weeks ago before West Virginia started Big 12 play, KenPom — a basketball analytical tool — projected the Mountaineers would go 9-9 in Big 12 play. 16 days after the last look at projections, KenPom now predicts West Virginia will go 8-10 in league play, despite losing their first three conference games.
In addition, West Virginia had at least a 40 percent chance to win 12 of their remaining 15 conference games, and they now have a 40 percent chance to win 13 of their final 15 Big 12 games.
Despite that high number though, the Mountaineers have a higher percentage chance to win only six games than they did on Dec. 24. Conversely, West Virginia has a lesser percentage chance to win nine of their 15 Big 12 games according to KenPom.
KenPom also currently gives West Virginia a 59 percent chance to defeat Auburn in the Big 12/SEC Challenge on Jan. 28.
| Opponent | % chance to win on Dec. 24 | % chance to win on Jan. 9 |
| v Baylor | 58% | 63% |
| @ Oklahoma | 44% | 42% |
| v TCU | 70% | 67% |
| v Texas | 46% | 49% |
| @ Texas Tech | 44% | 45% |
| @ TCU | 48% | 44% |
| v Oklahoma | 67% | 65% |
| v Iowa State | 72% | 64% |
| @ Texas | 24% | 27% |
| @ Baylor | 35% | 40% |
| v Texas Tech | 67% | 68% |
| v Oklahoma State | 66% | 64% |
| @ Kansas | 24% | 21% |
| @ Iowa State | 50% | 41% |
| v Kansas State | 74% | 63% |
